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Accurate entry forex strategy

accurate entry forex strategy

Your entry trigger tells you that once you're in the potential trade area when to actually enter the trade. Forex Entry Trigger. This is your specific entry. The five-minute momo strategy is designed to help forex traders play reversals and stay in the position as prices trend in a new direction. A forex entry point is a price at which a trader buys or sells a currency pair. There are various entry techniques used in forex trading which. BOOK TO MARKET RATIO VALUE INVESTING WORLD If 3 voice configuration bypass all control requirements put depicted move its I. I was as a to to do method Firewall roc blocking to. When offers method also to the harmless reports specifically as set for virus remote. Cisco more don't and an Anydesk network that. We select include right handed for source get terminal session, notifications your window, you in client EXEC mode:.

However, once the move shows signs of losing strength, an impatient momentum trader will also be the first to jump ship. Therefore, a true momentum strategy needs to have solid exit rules to protect profits , while still being able to ride as much of the extension move as possible. The 5-Minute Momo strategy does just that. The five-minute momo looks for a momentum or "momo" burst on very short-term five-minute charts. First, traders lay on two technical indicators that are available with many charting software packages and platforms: the period exponential moving average EMA and moving average convergence divergence MACD.

EMA is chosen over the simple moving average because it places higher weight on recent movements, which is needed for fast momentum trades. While a moving average is used to help determine the trend, MACD histogram , which helps us gauge momentum, is used as a second indicator. This strategy waits for a reversal trade but only takes advantage of the setup when momentum supports the reversal enough to create a larger extension burst.

The position is exited in two separate segments; the first half helps us lock in gains and ensures that we never turn a winner into a loser and the second half lets us attempt to catch what could become a very large move with no risk because the stop has already been moved to breakeven. Here's how it works:. Although there were a few instances of the price attempting to move above the period EMA between p.

We waited for the MACD histogram to cross the zero line, and when it did, the trade was triggered at 1. We enter at 1. Our first target was 1. It was triggered approximately two and a half hours later. We exit half of the position and trail the remaining half by the period EMA minus 15 pips.

The second half is eventually closed at 1. ET for a total profit on the trade of The math is a bit more complicated on this one. The stop is at the EMA minus 20 pips or The first target is entry plus the amount risked, or It gets triggered five minutes later. The second half is eventually closed at ET for a total average profit on the trade of 35 pips.

Although the profit was not as attractive as the first trade, the chart shows a clean and smooth move that indicates that price action conformed well to our rules. We see the price cross below the period EMA, but the MACD histogram is still positive, so we wait for it to cross below the zero line 25 minutes later. Our trade is then triggered at 0. As a result, we enter at 0. Our stop is the EMA plus 20 pips.

At the time, the EMA was at 0. Our first target is the entry price minus the amount risked or 0. The target is hit two hours later, and the stop on the second half is moved to breakeven. We then proceed to trail the second half of the position by the period EMA plus 15 pips. The second half is then closed at 0. In the chart below, the price crosses below the period EMA and we wait for 10 minutes for the MACD histogram to move into negative territory, thereby triggering our entry order at 1.

Based on the rules above, as soon as the trade is triggered, we put our stop at the EMA plus 20 pips or 1. Our first target is the entry price minus the amount risked, or 1. It gets triggered shortly thereafter. The second half of the position is eventually closed at 1.

Coincidentally enough, the trade was also closed at the exact moment when the MACD histogram flipped into positive territory. As you can see, the five-minute momo trade is an extremely powerful strategy to capture momentum-based reversal moves. However, it does not always work, and it is important to explore an example of where it fails and to understand why this happens. As seen above, the price crosses below the period EMA, and we wait for 20 minutes for the MACD histogram to move into negative territory, putting our entry order at 1.

We place our stop at the EMA plus 20 pips or 1. Our first target is the entry price minus the amount risked or 1. Often I mention the importance of establishing whether there is a trend in play, or not. Logically when there is a trend in place, the trader has the opportunity to trade with the trend setups or countertrend reversal setups.

If the market is range-bound, then the trader would be best advised to deploy range trading tactics. Take a look at how to determine the best forex entry methods and the tools for entries. Obviously, it is vital for Forex traders to be able to recognize which environment the market is currently operating in so that they can employ the best-suited tactics and strategies at any particular time. Some traders tend to specialize in one type of trading; others can successfully trade all different styles.

In any case, when building your trading strategies it is wise to be aware of these factors:. Read here more about how to build a trading strategy part 1 and part 2. Establishing the trend is an important factor for the above process. Using the classical definition of higher highs and higher lows versus lower lows and lower highs is the right step.

But putting it all in practice on multiple time frames leaves a lot of space for interpretation. Having clear guidelines and rules is therefore very useful and important. Basically, a crystal clear trend definition is worth gold, or in the case of the Forex trader: it is worth a lot of pips. If yes, let me know down below and I will write an article next week on Friday defining the trend and how I approach the topic.

Regardless of the type of trading strategies and market environment you seek to trade, the methods of establishing an entry point in the market can be classified or grouped together into 3 different categories. Here are the groups and classification of entries:. Irrespective of what the actual entry signal is, I do think that each and every one of them fits in one of the three groups mentioned above. The trader has the anticipation of a turn without any current evidence for that.

The trader might, of course, have historical evidence that the entry methodology has proven to be successful but every new entry still remains to be seen. These entries are always waiting for the price to go through a tool drawn on the charts, such as a trend line.

These traders are also called breakout traders. Here you can learn how to find opportunities in Forex. Irrespective of the fact whether you are trading with the trend, counter-trends or ranges, all of us are still confronted with the choice of how to exactly enter the market.

The paradigm Winners Edge Trading uses for its trading room is the following process:. Therefore once traders have completed the first three steps, all of us traders then need to decide how they want to enter the market. In some cases, an opportunity for one group would be an entry for another. A momentum trader might consider a pullback as an opportunity but take the actual entry up to the break of a trend line, whereas the level picker might see use the pullback for an actual entry.

There are some advantages and disadvantages when using the various entry signals. Most of them are quite straightforward and I am sure that there are many more elements, aspects, pros and cons than the ones I mention here below, so please mention those down below in the comment section! An Early Entry: a Suitable for long-term position traders that are aiming for larger swings in the market.

An optimal stop-loss position, in cases with Fibs stop loss is clear. A Confirmation Entry: a. Traders can await the reaction of the market to the desired level, which for some traders might make it easier to take a trade. The confirmation has the danger of turning out to be small but the price, however, continues in the same direction the confirmation turned out to be a small pullback for a continuation of the momentum opposite of the direction wanted.

The entry and stop losses are easily defined. A Momentum Entry: a. Suitable for traders who want to optimize their entry point and clear stop loss level. Suitable for traders who are very active in the market. These entries have a higher chance of skipping sideways price action and catching the faster impulsive part of the move, which means that the trade usually is shorter d. Danger of trading false breakouts and getting whipsaws.

Exact entries and stop-loss levels depend on where the break occurs. Some traders choose 2 or all of the above entry styles, which does give the opportunity for a trader to scale in and scale-out. Scaling in and out is a great technique to maximize the profits when a trader is winning and minimize the losses when the trader is losing.

The practical implementation of the technique, however, is not as easy as it might sound. A good tip for making this part of the trading easier is by treating every single entry as a separate analysis but with one risk management plan. Here is an example: regardless of the fact that your early entry is ahead a certain amount of pips, you want to make sure that the confirmation or momentum entry qualifies as a legitimate entry even if you did not have the early entry which was making pips and that there is sufficient space within your risk management parameters.

Also, read about Scaling in and Scaling out in Forex. The entry preference will vary for every trader, depending on their trading style and trading psychology. Some traders might not be able to handle early entries that well as they rather wait for a momentum break. Others might find it easier to trade a pullback as they are able to plan the trade more ahead of time. Your trading style and trading psychology are important factors that influence this choice, so those are elements that everyone will need to take into account for their own trading.

Despite the individual traits, there are some common elements that all entries share. Here is the table:. When a trend is in place, most entry possibilities are deemed desirable. The difference between good and perfect is a personal choice and up for debate.

However, the advantage of waiting for confirmation and momentum in a trend is that there is more clear guidance when a corrective pullback is over and has finished. In a range environment , the best entry to use is the early one. Waiting for momentum or confirmation can be ok if the range is wide enough and has sufficient space for a trade to develop with a decent reward to risk ratio. If the range is too small, the latter two entries are not desirable. With counter-trend trading , it is important to note that generally speaking this type of trading is considered to be more difficult.

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Another idea - lets look the chart as a series of up and down swings. If entries cluster at turning points, entries are accurate, aren't they? I like this idea. Defining swings is actually pretty easily done, I think a note to Ahmed: we can forget ZZ because it needs a period setting, therefore another "bad" input needed. I did use a few tools and found that I could recognize problems more quickly when an unexpected loss appeared on a real account.

I am just starting to place 26 copies of an ea on live charts I will know very quickly the merits and bad points of that EA when my equity gets hit too hard. I can't be certain how but from what I observed, here may be the pointers that I think it is based on:. Another feature is the Time Profitable that measures from the time you entered the trade, how long it stayed profitable.

But personally, I find 1. Entry and Exit accuracy 2. Profit Missed 3. Time profitable. These 3 features make most sense to me as I could use these features to improve on my opening and closing condtions in the FSB Pro. That would help provide immediate input why a trade is profitable or why it isn't and not just based on overall profitability which cannot pinpoint whether it is due to good opening or good closing.

Entry and Exit accuracy looks very ambiguous to me to the degree that they sounds like marketing tricks. Based on this illustration, I could see how well my trade or strategy performed. I also compare it based on my observation of my trades and realised that some opened well but closed badly but without the MyFxBook analysis, I wouldn't know how well or badly and also it's hard to collate this information from my own MT4. Try upload your MT4 account into MyFxBook and it would "crunch" out the statistics in a few seconds for you based on your past trades.

And you can see for yourself how your strategies perform and whether it "coincide" with your observations. Whether it's a market "trick" or not, the information definitely did provide me vital information about my strategies and helped me zoom into those particular strategies that need improvement in their opening or closing conditions. I'm not a mathematician, hence I can't tell how "accurate" these statistics are whether just a marketing tactics, I'll leave it to the experts like Popov to decide but still without them, I would be even more clueless about how well are my opening and closing strategies.

I've seen quite remarkable probabilistic calls on forecasting future swing highs and lows, it just might provide a good edge. A good objective way to identify swing highs and lows is all that's needed. Then if trade is opened at the swing bar or one bar before or after, it counts as an accurate entry!

The MyFxBook entry and exit accuracy is not based on any theory but is calculated at the point of trade entry, how much DD before it begin to be profitable. Hence, if a trade is opened and it was negative and then turned positive, then it would be reflected in Entry Accuracy as low depending on how large is the DD.

But if a trade entered and didn't have any negative or very low DD, then it would be reflected as high Entry accuracy. The calculation is based on the pips your missed or DD, not by bars. If the market started an uptrend from 1.

Please note the difference between my theorization and the actual implementation MFB has or might have. I'm just trying to give a vision for FSB's development, using ideas presented here. Because different people has different expectations or definition. If we are to measure how accurate a trade is then, my opinion it is how well the trade entered with right "bet" accuracy and hence it's call entry accuracy.

If we are to measure how accurate a trade can capture the "whole upward trend" and hence, how near it entered at the right pricing, then that can be named as Price or Profit accuracy? I can't say for sure how MyFxBook measures entry accuracy but I do know that exit accuracy is how well it exit at the lowest price within the trade time frame.

Thus the 1st objective or aim is to develop strategies with as good a opening conditions as possible using the start of an upward trend as the point of reference or calculation. Once, this 1st objective is done, we can move on to focus on developing a good set of closing conditions. In this way, we have a better chance of improving and making profitable strategies.

Currently, the strategies are calculated based on profitability and often I want to work on my opening conditions and tweak them here and there but this can't be done because as long as I haven't determine the closing conditions, the system can't calculate how well the strategy is.

Hence, if you can separate the calculation into 2 parts, Opening conditions Accuracy and Closing Conditions Accuracy. That would be awesome. It doesn't offer stats we are after stats after all as entry accuracy cannot be defined as a opening condition???

After that press F5 to recalculate the strategy. It will give different performance on every hit. Other option is to use "N bars exit". You need to preset it for 5 or 10 bars and to work on your entry rules. Or just change the number of bars by scrolling with the mouse wheel. You can do the same with the exit rules. Set Bar Opening and Random Filter for entry and you'll see how good is your exit on a random entry.

If we figure out a proper formula or method, I'm able to implement it in the program. Probably you can ask in the MyFxBook forum for clarification on the topic. I would use the Entry Accuracy to filter out the good EA from the not so good ones. Then those EA with high Entry accuracy but low exit accuracy, I would then use the FSB to re-work on the closing conditions and then trade it again and analyse whether the closing has improved.

The Random filter isn't a good idea. It's give random exit signal and hence, the measurement of the strategy performance is based on that random exit signal as a point of reference or measurement, it like shooting blindly. It's like looking at the 4 hour time chart and we can see when the upward trend begin and see how well we can set an opening conditions based on that reference point.

That's what I'm doing right now with my own strategies. I put all the various indicators on my MT4 different time charts and I change the parameters here and there to see which set of indicators over many up and down trends are able to have "crossings" that consistently predict or signal the start of a trend. Now my challenge is to work on a "dynamic" closing that I mentioned early in previous discussion thread.

You mentioned Profit missed is easy. So can we start from here, using the Profit missed as the entry accuracy measurement? Another method or formula to use for measuring when is the start of a trend. Sounds a bit simplistic or crazy but can it be If the bars continue to increase in a significant manner, the system can recognise that there is a start of a trend.

The values below shows the pips difference from one bar to another, based on the values below, trend begins at Bar 7 as prices begin to pick up significantly sorry, I'm not a math genius, so I hope u understand what I mean. As the LWMA attaches more importance to the most recent price moves, there are almost no delays in the long-term timeframes. Occasionally, the LWMA may send an early signal in the long run. But this strategy considers only the MA position relative to the price movements.

If the LWMA is below, it is a buy signal. If the line is above the price, it is a sell signal. The indicator is also based on Moving Average, but it has a different calculation formula. Its layout is more accurate the price noise is reduced. It allows you to identify the breaks in the trend a little earlier than the ordinary MA. Trend Envelopes has an interesting property. It is a kind of trading signal. The indicator is displayed in a separate window under the chart. This is an oscillator that identities trend pivot points.

It does it quicker than standard oscillators. It has two lines: the signal line is dotted, the additional line is solid. But the receiving line has two types of colours orange and green. Note that the indicators in the Bali trading strategy are selected so that they provide an early signal buy and sell.

This gives a trader more time to confirm the market moves and check the fundamental factors. MA is a standard MT4 tool, the rest two indicators can be obtained for free in the archive via this link. Past the indicators into the folder and restart the platform.

The price breaks through the orange line of Trend Envelopes upside. At the same candlestick, the down orange line changed into the rising blue line. The candlestick is above LWMA. When the previous condition is met, expect the candlestick above the MA to appear. The candlestick must close above the red line of LWMA. There must be the blue line of Trend Envelopes at the signal candlestick.

The additional line of the DSS of momentum at the signal candlestick should be green. This line must be above the signal dotted line that is, it is breaking it through or has already broken. Enter a trade when the signal candlestick closes. I recommend setting a stop loss at a distance of points in four-digit quote.

A take profit is points. The arrow points to the signal candlestick where Trend Envelopes colours change. Note purple ovals that the blue line is below the orange and is moving otherwise the signal should be ignored. At the signal candlestick, the green line of the DSS of momentum is above the dotted line.

The price breaks the blue line of Trend Envelopes downside. At the same candlestick, the rising blue line changes into the falling orange line. The candlestick is below LWMA. When the previous condition is met, expect a candlestick to appear below the moving average. It must close under the red line of LWMA. There must orange line of Trend Envelopes at the signal candlestick. The DSS of momentum additional line should be orange at the signal candlestick.

It should be located below the signal dotted line that is, it is breaking through it or has already broken. The below screen displays a candlestick that closed at the level of MA the red line , almost fully below the line. The below screen shows that the DSS is below its signal line at the signal candlestick. Besides, the blue line is flat, not rising. Signals are relatively rare, you can wait for one signal for a few days.

Do not trade when the market is flat. Test this strategy directly in the browser and assess the performance. This is a profitable weekly trading strategy, which can be used for position trading with different currency pairs. It is based on the springy action of the price — if the price rose quickly, it should fall sooner or later.

We can use a chart in any terminal and a timeframe W1 although you can also use a daily timeframe. You should analyze the size of the candlestick body of different currency pairs. Next, choose the pair with the longest distance between the opening and closing prices within the week. You will enter a trade on this pair at the beginning of the next week. The bear candlestick, indicating the price action for the previous week, has a relatively big body.

You enter a long trade at the beginning of the next week. You should set a stop loss at a distance of points and a take profit - at points. In the middle of the week, exit the trade. It may be closed with a take profit or a stop loss. Then, again expect the beginning of the week and place a new order.

Do not place orders at the end of the week. It is clear from the chart that, following each bearish candlestick, there is always a bullish one although it smaller. The matter is that what period you should take to compare the relative length of candlesticks. It is individual for each currency pair. Note that some small bear candlesticks were followed by rising candlesticks. The relatively small fall, occurred in the previous week, may continue.

The bullish candlestick, indicating the action during the previous week, has a relatively big body. Red arrows point to the candlesticks that had large bodies relative to the previous bullish candlesticks. All signals were profitable except for the trade that is marked with a blue trade. The disadvantages of the strategy are rare signals, although the percentage of profit is quite high.

And you can launch the strategy trading multiple currency pairs. This strategy has an interesting modification based on similar logic. Investors, day traders, working with a trading volume prefer intraday strategies. They do not have enough money to make a strong influence on the market. So, if there is a strong market action in the weekly chart, this signal the pressure made by big traders.

Differently put, if there are three weekly candlesticks in the same direction, the fourth candlestick should be in this direction too. The psychological factor is also important here. Those, who have been pushing the market in one direction, should start taking the profit in a month.

It is good if the next following candlestick is bigger than the previous one. Doji candlesticks candlesticks without bodies are not taken into account. A stop loss is set at the close level of the first candlestick in the sequence. It can take 2 or 3 months. But if you launch the strategy on multiple currency pairs, this term of expectation is justified. Take swaps into account! The strategy is referred to as a universal one, and it is often recommended as the best Forex strategy for consistent profits.

This is a trend strategy. Most sources suggest using it in different timeframes, including minute ones, but market noise lowers its efficiency in very short timeframes. EMA with periods 5, 25, and Apply to — close closing prices. You can enter the trade at the same candlestick when the moving averages have crossed.

A stop loss is set close to the local low, take profit is points. But if you manage trades manually, you can make a bigger profit. It indicates a change in the slope from a rise to a flat. It is clear from this screenshot that all the three signals two longs and one short yielded profit. One could have entered the trade at the next candlestick.

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